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C. Evolution · Evolution

Chance and Movement: Genetic Drift, Bottlenecks, Founders and Gene Flow

C3.4 C2.1 C2.2 A1.13About 70 minutes
Learning goals
  • I can calculate allele frequencies in a population.
  • I can explain genetic drift and why it has the biggest effect in small populations.
  • I can describe the bottleneck effect and the founder effect with examples.
  • I can explain how gene flow affects the genetic makeup of populations.
  • I can compare drift, gene flow and natural selection as mechanisms of evolution.

Words to know

allele frequency
The fraction of all copies of a gene in a population that are one particular allele (a number from 0 to 1).
genetic drift
Random changes in allele frequencies from one generation to the next, caused by chance.
bottleneck effect
Genetic drift that happens when a population is suddenly reduced to a few individuals, so much genetic variation is lost.
founder effect
Genetic drift that happens when a few individuals start a new, isolated population.
fixation
When an allele reaches a frequency of 1 (100%): it is the only allele left for that gene.
gene flow
Movement of alleles between populations when individuals or their gametes (such as pollen) move and breed.
microevolution
Small changes in allele frequencies within a population over generations.

Evolution by luck

Natural selection is not the only way a population's genes can change. Imagine a small population of wildflowers in which a few plants with white flowers happen to be under a fallen tree. The tree crushes them before they make seeds. White flowers were not worse; they were just unlucky. Next year, there are fewer white alleles in the population.

This is genetic drift: evolution by chance. In this lesson you will measure allele frequencies, watch drift in action, and learn how it combines with gene flow to shape populations, especially small ones.

Measuring the gene pool: allele frequency

To see evolution happen, biologists track allele frequencies. Most organisms have two copies of each gene (one from each parent). If a gene has two alleles, A and a:

frequency of A = (number of A alleles) ÷ (total number of alleles)

The frequencies of all the alleles of a gene add up to 1. A change in allele frequency over generations is microevolution. (You will learn more about alleles, genotypes and how they are inherited in the Genetic Processes unit.)

Worked example

Example 1: Let's calculate allele frequencies

A population of 50 deer mice has these genotypes for a coat-colour gene: 18 DD, 24 Dd and 8 dd. Find the frequency of D and of d.

  1. Each mouse has 2 alleles, so there are 50 × 2 = 100 alleles in total.
  2. D alleles: each DD mouse has 2, each Dd mouse has 1. D = 18 × 2 + 24 × 1 = 36 + 24 = 60.
  3. d alleles: each dd has 2, each Dd has 1. d = 8 × 2 + 24 × 1 = 16 + 24 = 40.
  4. Frequency of D = 60 ÷ 100 = 0.60; frequency of d = 40 ÷ 100 = 0.40.
  5. Check: 0.60 + 0.40 = 1.00 ✔

Frequency of D = 0.60, frequency of d = 0.40.

Genetic drift: chance changes

In every generation, which individuals happen to reproduce, and which of each parent's alleles happen to end up in its offspring, involves chance. Like flipping a coin, the results can wander away from what you would expect.

  • In a large population, chance effects mostly cancel out (flip a coin 1000 times and you get close to 50% heads), so allele frequencies change little by drift.
  • In a small population, chance has big effects (flip 10 times and you could easily get 7 or 8 heads). Allele frequencies can swing widely, and an allele can be lost completely (frequency 0) or become fixed (frequency 1) in just a few generations.

Drift is random. Unlike natural selection, it does not make a population better adapted. It can even remove helpful alleles. Drift reduces genetic variation, which makes small populations less able to adapt to future changes.

00.510102030generationallele frequencysmall populations (10 individuals)large (500)
A computer simulation of genetic drift, starting every population at an allele frequency of 0.5 (random numbers, no selection). In small populations (solid lines) the frequency swings widely; one allele was lost (0) and another fixed (1) within 30 generations. In large populations (dashed) it stays near 0.5.

The bottleneck effect

A bottleneck happens when a disaster, disease, or over-hunting suddenly reduces a population to a small number of survivors. The survivors carry only a random sample of the original alleles. Even if the population later grows large again, the lost variation does not come back (except slowly, by new mutations).

  • Northern elephant seals were hunted for their oil until, by the 1890s, probably fewer than 100 were left (some estimates say about 20). Protected since then, they have recovered to well over 100 000, but they have very low genetic variation.
  • Cheetahs have unusually low genetic variation, which scientists think is the result of one or more ancient bottlenecks.

Low variation can make a species more vulnerable to new diseases or environmental changes, since few individuals may carry alleles that help.

Original populationdisasterfew surviveAfter recovery4 alleles (colours)only 2 alleles left, in new proportions
The bottleneck effect. Only a few individuals survive a disaster, carrying a random sample of alleles. When the population recovers, some alleles are gone and others are much more or less common than before.

The founder effect

The founder effect happens when a few individuals leave a large population and start a new, isolated population, for example on an island, or a small human community that marries mostly within itself. The founders' alleles are a random sample, so the new population can have very different allele frequencies from the original.

  • Some isolated human communities have high frequencies of otherwise rare inherited conditions because one or a few founders happened to carry the allele. For example, certain inherited disorders are more common in the Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean region of Quebec, than elsewhere. The region was settled in the 1800s largely by families from nearby Charlevoix, so much of today's population descends from a relatively small number of founders.
  • Many island species descend from a few founders that arrived by flying, swimming or drifting on floating vegetation, like the ancestors of Darwin's finches.
Worked example

Example 2: Let's model a founder event

A large mainland population of beetles has allele frequencies of 0.5 green (G) and 0.5 brown (g). A storm carries 4 beetles to an island: their genotypes are GG, GG, Gg and GG. Find the allele frequencies of the island population and explain the change.

  1. Total alleles = 4 beetles × 2 = 8.
  2. G alleles = 2 + 2 + 1 + 2 = 7. g alleles = 1.
  3. Frequency of G = 7 ÷ 8 = 0.875; frequency of g = 1 ÷ 8 = 0.125.
  4. The change from 0.5 to 0.875 happened by chance (which beetles the storm carried), not because green is better. This is the founder effect, a form of genetic drift. With only one g allele, the island population could easily lose it entirely in a few generations.

G = 0.875 and g = 0.125 on the island, a big change caused by chance: the founder effect.

Gene flow

Gene flow is the movement of alleles between populations, when individuals migrate and breed, or when gametes travel (pollen blown by wind or carried by bees).

  • Gene flow adds variation to a population (alleles new to that population can arrive).
  • Gene flow makes neighbouring populations more similar to each other. It works against the differences that selection and drift create in separate populations.
  • When gene flow between two populations stops, they can evolve independently. That is an important step toward forming new species (the next lesson).

Human activity changes gene flow. Highways and dams can cut gene flow between populations of turtles, salamanders or fish; wildlife crossings and fish ladders help restore it. Pollen from crops can carry alleles into wild relatives growing nearby.

MechanismRandom or not?Effect on variation within a populationMakes population better adapted?
Natural selectionNot random (depends on traits)Usually reduces itYes
Genetic driftRandomReduces it (alleles lost)No
Gene flowDepends on movementUsually increases itNot necessarily
MutationRandomIncreases it (new alleles)Not by itself
Comparing mechanisms that change allele frequencies.
Just for fun

Genetic drift in one sentence: sometimes the fittest individual in the population gets squashed by a falling tree. Evolution isn't always fair. Sometimes it's just random.

Hands-on activity

Drift with paper slips

You need: 10 small slips of paper, a pen, a cup, and a sheet for recording.

Model: a tiny population of 5 plants has 10 alleles of a flower-colour gene. Start with 5 slips marked P (purple) and 5 marked p (white): frequency of P = 0.5.

  1. Make the next generation: mix the cup, draw one slip without looking, write down its letter, and put it back. Do this 10 times. The 10 letters you wrote are the alleles of the next generation.
  2. Count the P's and calculate the new frequency of P (number of P ÷ 10).
  3. Refill the cup so it matches the new generation (for example, 7 P slips and 3 p slips). Repeat steps 1 and 2.
  4. Run 10 generations (or stop early if one letter disappears). Record the frequency of P each time.
  5. Repeat the whole run 3 times. Graph all three runs on one set of axes (generation on the x-axis, frequency of P on the y-axis).
  6. Predict how the graph would look for a population of 500 plants.

What to look for: frequencies that wander up and down by chance; some runs reaching 0 or 1 (loss or fixation, after which nothing can change); three runs ending at different values; the prediction that a large population would stay much closer to 0.5.

Your turn

1

A population of 20 plants has genotypes 5 RR, 10 Rr and 5 rr. Find the frequency of R.

2

What is genetic drift?

3

Why does genetic drift have a bigger effect in small populations?

4

Describe the bottleneck effect and give an example.

5

What is the founder effect?

6

What is gene flow, and how does it affect two neighbouring populations?

7

Does genetic drift make populations better adapted? Explain.

More practice: warm-up

1

Allele frequencies for one gene with two alleles must add up to what number?

2

If the frequency of B is 0.7, what is the frequency of b (two alleles only)?

3

What does it mean if an allele is fixed?

4

Name one structure people build to restore gene flow for wildlife.

5

Name the two special cases of genetic drift from this lesson.

More practice: on your own

1

A population of 200 frogs has genotypes 98 SS, 84 Ss and 18 ss. Calculate the frequencies of S and s.

2

Why might a species that went through a bottleneck be at greater risk from a new disease?

3

Three birds blown to a new island have genotypes Tt, tt and tt. Find the island's allele frequencies. What would likely happen to T in a few generations, and why?

4

A highway separates a population of salamanders into two halves. Predict what happens to the two halves over many generations, and explain.

5

Compare how natural selection and genetic drift would change a population of beetles in which green beetles are better camouflaged.

Challenge

1

A population of 400 wolves has 0.9 frequency of allele A and 0.1 of a. 100 wolves migrate in from another population in which A = 0.5 and a = 0.5. Assuming all wolves breed equally, what is the new frequency of a?

2

Explain why conservation biologists sometimes move a few animals between isolated populations of an endangered species (for example, from one wildlife reserve to another).

3

The Florida panther population fell to a few dozen animals in the 1990s, and many had health problems linked to low genetic variation. In 1995, eight female pumas from Texas were released into the population. Predict the effect and explain which mechanism was used.

Check your understanding

Quiz

1.

In a population of 100 individuals, 36 are AA, 48 are Aa and 16 are aa. What is the frequency of A?

2.

Genetic drift is:

3.

Genetic drift has the greatest effect in:

4.

A few birds colonize a remote island and start a new population. Its allele frequencies differ from the mainland. This is:

5.

Northern elephant seals have low genetic variation because of:

6.

Which mechanism tends to make neighbouring populations more alike?

7.

Which mechanism consistently increases adaptation to the environment?

For parents and teachers

Big idea (C3.4): besides natural selection, chance (genetic drift, including bottlenecks and founder effects) and migration (gene flow) change allele frequencies. Calculating allele frequencies builds numeracy (A1.13: answers to two decimal places).

How to help: Do the coin or paper-slip drift activity together; it is quick and surprising. Ask, "What would happen with 500 plants instead of 5?"

Common difficulties:

  • Counting alleles. Each individual has two; heterozygotes contribute one of each.
  • Thinking drift is a kind of selection. Drift is random with respect to traits.
  • Thinking a recovered population has recovered its variation. After a bottleneck, numbers can recover but variation does not (except slowly through mutation).

Sensitivity: founder effects in human communities are presented as a matter of chance ancestry, not as anything about the people themselves.

Sources: northern elephant seal and cheetah bottlenecks, founder effects in Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean, and the 1995 Florida panther genetic rescue are documented in genetics and conservation literature. The drift graph is a computer simulation with random numbers.