Grade by Grade
D. Statistical Analysis · One-Variable Data Analysis

Interpreting and Comparing One-Variable Data Sets

D1.5About 70 minutes
Learning goals
  • I can describe a one-variable data set fully: shape, centre, spread and unusual values, in context.
  • I can choose summary statistics that suit the shape of the data and justify my choice.
  • I can compare two related data sets using numerical and graphical summaries, using relative frequencies when the sample sizes differ.
  • I can write and present a clear, justified conclusion, including its limitations.

Words to know

SOCS
A checklist for describing a distribution: Shape, Outliers (unusual values), Centre and Spread, always in context.
context
The real-world meaning of the data: what was measured, in what units, on which individuals, and when.
resistant summary
A summary such as the median and IQR that is not strongly affected by outliers or skew.
limitation
A reason a conclusion might not hold, such as a small sample, a non-random sample, or a variable that was not measured.

From numbers to conclusions

Computing a standard deviation is the easy part. The real skill, and the one the curriculum emphasizes in D1.5, is to interpret statistical summaries: describe what a data set looks like, compare two related data sets, explain how summaries could mislead, and make and justify conclusions in writing and out loud. That is what scientists, policy analysts and journalists do with data every day, and it is the core of the Culminating Data Management Investigation unit.

The curriculum gives examples such as comparing the lengths of trout of different species and comparing incomes across groups. This lesson does both.

Describing one distribution: SOCS in context

A complete description mentions four features and always uses the context (variable, units, individuals):

  1. Shape: symmetric, skewed right or left, uniform, bimodal (lesson 4).
  2. Outliers: any unusual values (lesson 9), and a possible explanation.
  3. Centre: the mean or the median, whichever suits the shape.
  4. Spread: the standard deviation (with the mean) or the IQR (with the median); the range can be added.

Matching summaries to shape:

  • Roughly symmetric, no outliers: report mean and standard deviation.
  • Skewed or with outliers: report median and IQR (the five-number summary), and mention the mean only to show how much the tail pulls it.
Worked example

Example 1: A full description

Describe the distribution of the 30 rainbow trout lengths (cm): 24.5, 26.0, 27.8, 28.5, 29.9, 30.6, 31.2, 31.8, 32.5, 33.0, 33.4, 34.1, 34.7, 35.2, 35.8, 36.3, 36.9, 37.5, 38.2, 39.0, 39.8, 40.7, 41.5, 42.6, 43.8, 45.2, 47.0, 49.5, 53.0, 61.5. (These are invented data for practice.) Technology gives x̄ ≈ 37.4 cm, s ≈ 8.2 cm, five-number summary 24.5, 31.8, 36.05, 41.5, 61.5.

  1. Outliers: IQR = 41.5 − 31.8 = 9.7; upper fence = 41.5 + 1.5(9.7) = 56.05. The 61.5 cm fish is an outlier. Lower fence = 31.8 − 14.55 = 17.25; no low outliers.
  2. Shape: the mean (37.4) is greater than the median (36.05), the right whisker (to 53.0) is much longer than the left, and the largest values are spread out: skewed right.
  3. Centre and spread: because of the skew and the outlier, use the median, 36.05 cm, and the IQR, 9.7 cm.
  4. Context: this is a sample of 30 rainbow trout; one unusually large fish (61.5 cm) may be an older fish.

"The lengths of the 30 rainbow trout are skewed right, with one outlier at 61.5 cm. A typical fish was about 36 cm long (median 36.05 cm), and the middle half of the fish were between 31.8 and 41.5 cm (IQR 9.7 cm)."

Comparing two related data sets

Use the same four features for both groups, and put them side by side in your sentences: compare, don't just list.

  • Use graphs on the same scale: side-by-side box plots, back-to-back stem-and-leaf plots, or two relative-frequency polygons or histograms (relative frequencies are essential when the groups have different sizes).
  • Compare like with like: median with median, IQR with IQR.
  • Say how much the centres differ, in units, and whether that difference is large compared with the spreads.
  • Finish with a conclusion in context and a limitation.
Brook trout (n = 40) and rainbow trout (n = 30)Brook19.526.7530.233.6541.2Rainbow24.531.836.0541.553152535455565length (cm)
Rainbow trout are longer at every point of the five-number summary, more spread out, and skewed right with one outlier (61.5 cm). Brook trout are shorter, more consistent and roughly symmetric.
Relative-frequency polygons: two species on one set of axes1422303846546200.050.10.150.20.250.30.35length (cm)relative frequencyBrookRainbow
The groups have different sizes (40 and 30), so relative frequencies are used. The brook trout polygon peaks higher and further left; the rainbow trout polygon is lower, wider and has a long right tail.
Worked example

Example 2: Writing a comparison

Compare the brook trout (n = 40: five-number summary 19.5, 26.75, 30.2, 33.65, 41.2; x̄ ≈ 30.3 cm; s ≈ 5.1 cm) with the rainbow trout from Example 1.

  1. Shape: brook trout lengths are roughly symmetric (mean 30.3 ≈ median 30.2); rainbow trout lengths are skewed right.
  2. Outliers: none for brook trout (fences 16.4 and 44.0); one for rainbow trout (61.5 cm).
  3. Centre: use medians, because one group is skewed: 36.05 vs 30.2 cm. Rainbow trout were typically about 6 cm longer.
  4. Spread: IQRs 9.7 vs 6.9 cm. Rainbow trout lengths were more variable.
  5. Overlap: the rainbow trout's Q1 (31.8) is above the brook trout's median, and the brook trout's Q3 (33.65) is below the rainbow trout's median. The difference in typical length is clear, though many individual fish of the two species overlap in length.
  6. Limitation: these are samples (and invented data); real fish samples depend on where, when and how they were caught (for example, net mesh size can exclude small fish).

"In these samples, rainbow trout were typically about 6 cm longer than brook trout (medians 36.05 cm and 30.2 cm) and their lengths were more variable (IQRs 9.7 cm and 6.9 cm). Brook trout lengths were roughly symmetric with no outliers, while rainbow trout lengths were skewed right with one very large fish (61.5 cm). The samples may not represent all fish in the lake."

Incomes: why the choice of summary matters

Income data is almost always skewed right: most households earn moderate amounts and a few earn very large amounts. Suppose two towns report:

  • Town A: mean household income $96 000, median $78 000.
  • Town B: mean household income $89 000, median $85 000.

By the mean, Town A looks richer. By the median, a typical household in Town B earns $7 000 more. Town A's large gap between mean and median shows a long right tail: a few very high incomes pull its mean up. If the question is "how well off is a typical family?", the median is the better summary. If the question is "what is the total income of the town?" (for example, to estimate tax revenue), the mean (times the number of households) is what you need. The right summary depends on the question. This is one reason Statistics Canada often reports median incomes, and why a summary can mislead when it is chosen to support a point of view, which is the subject of the next lesson.

Presenting orally

The curriculum asks you to justify conclusions orally as well as in writing. A good 1-minute statistical talk:

  1. States the question and the data (who, what, how many, how collected).
  2. Shows one clear graph and points at the feature that matters.
  3. Gives the key numbers with units, rounded sensibly.
  4. States the conclusion in plain words.
  5. Names one limitation and one follow-up question.

Practise on a family member who has not seen the data. If they can repeat your conclusion back to you, it was clear.

Just for fun

A statistician's two favourite words in any report: "in context." A statistician's least favourite: "on average, everyone".

Hands-on activity

Compare two groups at home

You need: a measuring tape or kitchen scale, paper and a pencil (or a spreadsheet). Choose one comparison:

  • lengths of 20 leaves from two different kinds of trees (for example, maple and oak) collected from the ground in the fall, or
  • masses of 15 apples of two varieties at home or at a store (ask before weighing), or
  • times for two family members to do 15 tries of a quick task (for example, tying a shoelace).
  1. Collect the data and find, for each group, the five-number summary, the mean and the standard deviation.
  2. Draw side-by-side box plots on one scale.
  3. Write a four-sentence comparison using SOCS and context, plus one limitation.
  4. Give a 1-minute oral summary to someone at home.

What to look for: both groups described with the same summaries, a comparison of centres with units ("about 3 cm longer"), a comparison of spreads, shape and any outliers, and a sensible limitation (small sample, leaves collected from one spot, apples from one store, and so on).

Your turn

1

A data set is strongly skewed left with an outlier. Which pair of summaries should you report?

2

Class X: mean 72, s = 6, symmetric, no outliers. Class Y: mean 72, s = 13, symmetric, no outliers. Write one comparison sentence.

3

Why must you use relative frequencies to compare histograms of 40 brook trout and 30 rainbow trout?

4

A report says, "The average wait in Emergency Department P is 3.1 hours, and in Q is 2.8 hours." What extra information would you want before concluding that Q is faster?

5

Town C has mean income $70 000 and median $69 000. Town D has mean $70 000 and median $58 000. Describe the likely shapes.

6

Give a limitation for this conclusion: "Our survey of 25 friends shows that teens sleep 8.5 hours a night on average."

More practice: warm-up

1

What does SOCS stand for?

2

Which measure of centre goes with the IQR?

3

Which measure of spread goes with the mean?

4

Two box plots are drawn on different scales. Can you compare them by eye?

5

Should a conclusion include units?

More practice: on your own

1

Commute times (min) for two schools. School P: min 5, Q1 12, median 18, Q3 25, max 40. School Q: min 3, Q1 8, median 11, Q3 15, max 58. Check for outliers and write a comparison.

2

A summary says the mean hours of volunteer work in a group is 42, with s = 61. What does the large s compared with the mean suggest about the shape, given hours cannot be negative?

3

Write a four-sentence comparison: Brand X batteries (n = 20): mean 11.0 h, s = 0.6 h, symmetric. Brand Y (n = 20): mean 11.4 h, s = 2.3 h, symmetric, one low outlier at 4.0 h.

4

Why might comparing the mean incomes of two provinces mislead, even if the data is accurate?

5

You have 1 minute to present the trout comparison orally. List, in order, what you would say.

Challenge

1

Explain how two data sets can have the same mean, median, standard deviation and IQR but still be very different. What graph would reveal the difference?

2

A town council says, "Average rent rose from $1 400 to $1 540, a 10% increase." A tenants' group says, "Median rent rose from $1 300 to $1 330, about 2%." Can both be accurate? What could explain the difference, and which better describes a typical tenant?

3

Two Grade 12 classes wrote the same test. Class A (n = 28): median 74, IQR 10. Class B (n = 31): median 70, IQR 22. A parent concludes, "Class A has the better teacher." Give three reasons this conclusion is not justified by the data.

Check your understanding

Quiz

1.

A distribution is skewed right with two high outliers. Which summary is most appropriate?

2.

Group sizes are 200 and 50. Which graph compares their distributions fairly?

3.

Town A: mean income $96 000, median $78 000. Town B: mean $89 000, median $85 000. Which statement is best supported?

4.

Which sentence is the best comparison of two data sets?

5.

Which is a limitation rather than a conclusion?

For parents and teachers

Big idea (D1.5): describing data means Shape, Outliers, Centre and Spread, in context, with summaries chosen to suit the shape. Comparing data sets means putting those features side by side, with numbers and units, and ending with a conclusion and a limitation.

How to help: Be the audience for your teen's 1-minute oral summary. Ask: "So what does that mean in real life?" and "How sure are you?"

Common difficulties:

  • Listing statistics for each group separately instead of comparing them.
  • Using the mean for skewed data.
  • Leaving out units and context.
  • Claiming a cause from a comparison of two groups.
  • Comparing raw frequencies of groups of different sizes.